Archive for August 31, 2011

BALLON STRANGLES A BETTER TRADES STRATEGY

I developed the Balloon Strangle as a way to counter the effects of high volatility and unpredictability (ie. Danger) of news announcements that happen when the market is closed. This would be like earnings after hours or an anticipated Board meeting or a court ruling. Something that could move the stock in a big way but you don’t know for sure which way. Conventional wisdom (and it is good advice) is to avoid this like a plague.

A conventional strategy to mitigate the effects of volatility is the strangle or straddle play. Traditional positions for a strangles and straddle are at or near the money. You take opposing positions so that either way it goes you have a winning position. You hope that the move is big enough that the losing position goes to zero and then the winning one can make money. Problem… near the money position are expensive and the move must be quite large to erase one position and still move far enough to make money on the other one. But the idea is that you are somewhat insulated from the unknown. At least you can stay even as one goes up in value and the other goes down.

The Balloon Strangle was a twist using the leverage of Out of the Money positions. If you use a graphic to show the option prices you will often see a leverage point in the curve created by plotting the option prices. It occurs in the Out of the money positions. It represents a spot where the value of the option changes much faster in one direction than the other. In other words if the stock moves one way the value of the option changes very fast but very slow if it moves the other way.

Here is an example of a Balloon Strangle on an earnings play with YHOO. I played this because of the potential YHOO had to move far enough to make the cost of both an Out of the money call and a put pay off. The potential was for a double of my money.

Now YHOO sits ½ way between the important price levels. This is the perfect setup for this play. The YHOO earnings usually has a big move and it is has clear targets.

Now here is what happened. YHOO moves like it was following a script. The upside move goes right to resistance.

Now the results… YHOO moved up to resistance and hesitated. 2 hours into the trading day and at the next sign of hesitation I pulled the plug on the trade. Resistance seemed to be holding, I got what I was looking for in an up side move so I sold both positions. The net of $1.75 was very close to the estimate of $1.70.

By the way, as the day wore on and YHOO did not make any attempt to move higher, the Oct 42.50 began to drop in value much faster than the stock sagged. This dropped the 42.50 calls over .50 while the stock pulled back .60. Waiting for the end of the day would have cost me over .50. The play was to be in only to catch the reaction to the news.

 

Avoiding suspicious activity reports in cash transactions

The reality is that such reporting is very plausible. Most western countries have enacted cash transaction legislation that mandates it. In Australia, anything over $10,000 must be reported to regulators, and any amount under that that bank staff deem suspicious. Likewise in the U.S. So, if you’re unusually scruffy-looking and wander into a bank with $4,000 cash to deposit, it’s very possible you will be reported by the teller. (See our article Money Laundering Defined on the web site www.powerprivacy.com for details on U.S. Currency Transfer Reports, or CTRs.)

Here’s a list of most things that can trigger staff’s suspicion and get you reported next time you go to the bank. Banks will not give you a list of or even admit the existence of these criteria, regardless how much you ask: – A customer refuses to provide identification or explain the purpose of a transaction. – A customer has a known criminal background and engages in substantial transactions. – A customer is ignorant of basic facts regarding the transaction or is unconcerned about rates, taxes, etc. – A customer is controlled by another person, particularly where the customer appears unaware, infirm or elderly and is accompanied by a non-relative. – A customer conducts cash transactions when his/her employment or business does not ordinarily generate or require such amounts of cash. – A customer repeatedly sends or receives wire transfers of any dollar amount when his/her business does not normally require or originate such wires. – A customer has no apparent source of income, yet conducts repeated transactions. – A customer offers a seller a gift, gratuity or bribe to complete a transaction. – A customer divides transactions into smaller amounts to avoid identification or reporting requirements.

Suspicious Customer Behavior – Customer has an unusual or excessively nervous demeanor. – Customer discusses your record keeping or reporting duties with the apparent intention of avoiding them. – Customer threatens an employee attempting to deter a record keeping or reporting duty. – Customer is reluctant to proceed with a transaction after being told it must be reported. – Customer suggests payment of a gratuity to an employee of the financial institution. – Customer appears to have a hidden agenda or behaves abnormally, such as bypassing the chance to obtain a higher interest rate on a large account balance. – Customer who is a public official opens account in the name of a family member who begins making large deposits not consistent with the known legitimate sources of income of the family. – Customer makes a large cash deposit without counting the cash. – Customer frequently exchanges small bills for large bills. – Customer’s cash deposits often contain counterfeit bills or musty or extremely dirty bills. – Customer who is a student uncharacteristically transfers or exchanges large sums of money. – Account shows high velocity in the movement of funds but maintains low beginning and ending daily balances. – Transaction includes correspondence received that is a copy rather than original letterhead. – Transaction involves offshore institutions whose names resemble those of well-known legitimate financial institutions. – Transaction involves unfamiliar countries or islands that cannot be found in an atlas or map. – Agent, attorney or financial advisor acts for another person without proper documentation such as a power of attorney.

Suspicious Customer Identification Circumstances – Customer furnishes unusual or suspicious identification documents and is unwilling to provide personal background data. – Customer is unwilling to provide personal background information when opening an account. – Customer opens an account without identification, references or a local address. – Customer’s permanent address is outside the bank’s service area or outside the country. – Customer’s home or business telephone is disconnected. – A business customer is reluctant to reveal details about the business activities or to provide financial statements or documents about a related business entity. – Customer provides no record of past or present employment on a loan application. – Customer claims to be a law enforcement agent conducting an undercover operation, when there are no valid indications to support that.

Suspicious Cash Transactions – Customer comes in with another customer and they go to different tellers to conduct currency transactions of less than $10,000. – Customer makes large cash deposit containing many $50 and $100 dollar bills. – Customer opens several accounts in one or more names, then makes several cash deposits that are less than $10,000. – Customer conducts unusual cash transactions through night deposit boxes, especially large sums that are not consistent with the customer’s business. – Customer makes frequent deposits or withdrawals of large amounts of currency for no apparent business reason, or for a business that generally does not generate large amounts of cash. – Customer conducts several large cash transactions at different branches on the same day, or orchestrates persons to do so on his behalf. – Customer deposits cash into several accounts in amounts below $10,000 and then consolidates the funds into one account and wire transfers them outside of the country. – Customer attempts to take back a portion of a cash deposit that exceeds $10,000 after learning that a currency transaction report will be filed on the transaction. – Customer conducts several cash deposits below $10,000 at automated teller machines. – Corporate account has deposits or withdrawals primarily in cash rather than cheques. – Customer frequently deposits large sums of cash wrapped in currency straps, stamped by other banks. – Customer makes frequent purchases of monetary instruments for cash, in amounts less than $10,000. – Customer conducts an unusual number of foreign currency exchange transactions. – Customer frequently uses foreign currency to purchase bank cheques under $3,000.

Suspicious Non-Cash Deposits – Customer deposits a large number of traveller’s cheques often in the same denomination and in sequence. – Customer deposits money orders bearing unusual markings.

Suspicious Wire Transfer Transactions – Non-accountholder sends wire transfer with funds that include numerous monetary instruments of less than $10,000 each. – An incoming wire transfer has instructions to convert the funds to bank cheques and mail them to a non-accountholder. – A wire transfer that moves large sums to secrecy havens such as the Cayman Islands, Hong Kong, Luxembourg, Panama or Switzerland. – An incoming wire transfer followed by an immediate purchase by the beneficiary of monetary instruments for payment to another party. – An increase in international wire transfer activity, in an account with no history of such activity or where the stated business of the customer does not warrant it. – Customer frequently shifts purported international profits by wire transfer out of their home country. – Customer receives many small incoming wire transfers and then orders a large outgoing wire transfer to another country. – Customer deposits bearer instruments followed by instructions to wire the funds to a third party. – Account in the name of a currency exchange house receives wire transfers or cash deposits of less than $10,000.

Suspicious Safe Deposit Box Activity – Customer’s activity increases in the safe deposit box area, possibly indicating the safekeeping of large amounts of cash. – Customer often visits the safe deposit box area immediately before making cash deposits of sums less than $10,000. – Customer rents multiple safe deposit boxes.

Suspicious Activity in Credit Transactions – A customer’s financial statement makes representations that do not conform to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. – A transaction is made to appear more complicated than it needs to be by use of impressive but nonsensical terms such as “emission rate,” “prime bank notes,” “standby commitment,” “arbitrage” or “hedge contracts.” – Customer requests loans to offshore companies or secured by obligations of offshore banks. – Customer suddenly pays off a large problem loan with no plausible explanation for the source of funds. – Customer purchases certificates of deposit and uses them as collateral for a loan. – Customer collateralises a loan with cash deposits. – Customer uses cash collateral located offshore to obtain a loan. – Customer’s loan proceeds are unexpectedly transferred offshore.

Suspicious Commercial Account Activity – Business customer presents financial statements noticeably different from those of similar businesses. – A large business presents financial statements that are not prepared by an accountant. – Retail business that provides cheque cashing service does not make large withdrawals of cash against cheque deposits, possibly indicating that it has another source of cash. – Customer maintains an inordinately large number of accounts for the type of business purportedly being conducted. – Corporate account shows little or no regular, periodic activity. – A transaction includes circumstances that would cause a banker to reject a loan application because of doubts about the collateral’s validity.

Suspicious Trade Financing Transactions – Customer seeks trade financing on the export or import of commodities whose stated prices are substantially more or less than those in a similar market situation. – Customer makes changes to a letter of credit beneficiary just before payment is to be made. – Customer changes the place of payment in a letter of credit to an account in a country, other than the beneficiary’s stated location. – Customer’s standby letter of credit is used as a bid or performance bond without the normal reference to an underlying project or contract, or in favor of unusual beneficiaries.

Suspicious Investment Activity – Customer uses an investment account as a pass-through vehicle to wire funds, particularly to off-shore locations. – Investor seems unconcerned about the usual decisions to be made about an investment account such as fees or suitable investment vehicles. – Customer wants to liquidate a large position through a series of small transactions. – Customer deposits cash, money orders, traveller’s cheques or bank cheques in amounts under $10,000 to fund an investment account. – Customer cashes out of annuities during the “free look” period or surrenders early.

Suspicious Employee Activity – Employee exaggerates the credentials, background or financial ability and resources of a customer, in written reports the bank requires. – Employee frequently is involved in unresolved exceptions or recurring exceptions on exception reports. – Employee lives a lavish lifestyle that could not be supported by his or her salary. – Employee frequently overrides internal controls or established approval authority or circumvents policy. – Employee uses company resources to further private interests. – Employee assists transactions where the identity of the ultimate beneficiary or counter party is undisclosed. – Employee avoids taking holidays.

AVOIDING DAY TRADER STATUS WITH BETTER TRADES

WHAT IS A DAY TRADER?

A Day Trader is someone who does four intra-day trades in five consecutive trading days. Let me address some terms here to help you understand this better:

Intra-day trade: A trade that is opened and closed in the same trading day (round trip).

Five Consecutive Trading Days: These are calendar days that the market is open, all in a row. For example:

If the market was open on Monday through Friday that would be five consecutive days.

Then we would have Tuesday through Monday for the next five consecutive days (unless Monday was a holiday in which case it would then be Tuesday through Tuesday.

Next, we would have Wednesday through Tuesday, and so on. The key is five trading days in a row.

HOW TO AVOID IT

One of my favorite students, Debi D, taught me to use a calendar to record my intra-day trades. By placing an “X” on the day

you do intra-day trades, (2 X’s if you do two, 3 X’s if you do 3 in that day) you can avoid accidentally getting to four by

looking at your calendar. Make sure you mark the days the market is closed on your calendar.

WHY DOES IT MATTER?

I thought it mattered a lot, but after my research for this newsletter, it appears there actually are some great benefits

being classified as a “Day Trader” if the $25,000 is not an issue for you. Basically there are two issues at hand:

ISSUE ONE: Your brokerage firm will likely impose the NASD requirements of maintaining at least $25,000 in your trading

account – and you have 5 days to comply. If you have this kind of money there is no issue! However, if you are starting out

with limited funds to trade it could be a big issue! One important note – always ask for one time of forgiveness! Many

students told me they did and the status was removed – so ASK! There may be a way around it, but I am not sure. From my

reading of the requirements, the penalty for not complying is that you are subject to cash only trades, (which are what we

were doing anyway with options)!

There is a really incredible benefit though if you are tagged a Day Trader and maintain the $25,000 minimum value in

your account. You may be eligible for day-trading margin, which is 4 times account buying power. WOW DO I EVER LIKE THIS

ONE!! This buying power may only be used intra-day and may not be held past market close. Orders exceeding Day-Trading Buying

Power will be rejected.

ISSUE TWO: Tax Consequences with the IRS

Actually upon my research into the IRS Publications it does not appear as bad as I thought. A tax firm specializing in trading activity, says: o They allow a full deduction of all trading losses in the year they occur, thereby circumventing the historical $3,000 net capital loss rule. o They allow full current expensing of trading expenses without limitation, thereby circumventing the limitation on miscellaneous itemized deductions. o They enable the active trader to still take advantage of the beneficial long term capital gain rules.

o They enable the active trader to circumvent the restrictive “Wash Sale” rules normally applied to investors, thereby alleviating a huge record-keeping nightmare.

o They allow the active trader to deduct losses on open as well as closed positions.

Continuing on with my IRS research:

You would report your trader’s activity as a business on Schedule C of your 1040, possibly allowing all the deductions for your classes and tools, versus a limitation on deduction for passive trading that would have had to be reported on your

Schedule A with a 2% AGI limitation deduction. But here is the sweet deal: you can still elect to report your gain or loss on

Schedule D as a capital gain unless you made the mark-to-market election, (which has you claim the income as ordinary income on Form 4797 instead of Schedule D – see IRS Publication 550 for more information on this). Just to be safe, you better talk to an accountant that specializes in stock market trading. Being a retired accountant, I want to tell you that most accountants will not know how to treat your trading income properly – you need to understand this.

The proper classification of your investment activities is important to determine how income and expenses are to be reported.

Traders that buy and sell securities frequently can report their purchases and sales result in capital gain and loss, and their deductible expenses are trade or business expenses.